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Loonie declines after GDP contraction data

Economies.com
2025-06-27 19:33PM UTC

The Canadian dollar fell against most major rivals on Friday following data that showed the economy contracted.

 

Canada’s GDP shrank 0.1% in April, while analysts expected no change. 

 

The CAD/USD price fell 0.6% as of 20:29 GMT to 0.7289.

 

Aussie

 

The AUD/USD price fell 0.4% as of 20:29 GMT to $0.6521.

 

US Dollar

 

The US dollar index rose 0.2% as of 20:13 GMT to 97.3, with a session-high at 97.5, and a low at 97.00.

 

US Trade Secretary Howard Lutnick confirmed in statements to Bloomberg that a general framework for a trade deal with China has been reached, with the US expecting deals with 10 major trade partners soon.

 

US President Donald Trump said he’s terminating trade talks with Canada after it imposed a digital services tax on US tech corporations.

 

Trump described Canada as a country difficult to deal with on trade, and considered the new Canadian tax and attack on the US.

 

As for data, US personal consumption expenditure was up 2.7% y/y in May, above estimates of 2.6%.

Wall Street surges to record highs

Economies.com
2025-06-27 15:59PM UTC

US stock indices rallied on Friday to fresh record highs as trade tensions calmed following strong US inflation data.

 

Dow Jones rose 0.4%, or 165 points to 43552 points as of 14:36 GMT, while S&P 500 rose 0.25% to 6155 points, a record high, as NASDAQ added 0.3% to 20,229 points, also a new record. 

 

US Trade Secretary Howard Lutnick confirmed in statements to Bloomberg that a general framework for a trade deal with China has been reached, with the US expecting deals with 10 major trade partners soon.

 

Earlier data showed US personal consumption expenditure up 2.7% y/y in May, above estimates of 2.6%.

Copper prices drop off three-month peak on Chinese data

Economies.com
2025-06-27 15:48PM UTC

Copper prices fell on Friday off three-month highs after weak economic data from China and amid profit-taking, but the losses were stymied due to a supply shortage.

 

Copper three-month futures fell 0.5% at the London Metals Exchange to $9855 a ton, after touching March 27 highs earlier at $9917.

 

Recent Chinese data showed industrial sector profits fell sharply in May as factory activities slowed down.

 

However, analysts note that a variety of industrial activity dependent on copper remains strong, such as spending on electrical networks, which surged 19% in the first five months of 2025.

 

Copper futures conversely rose 1.5% at the Shanghai exchange to 79,920 yuan, just shy of March 31 highs as well.

 

Recent data showed Shanghai inventories are down by 19% last week to 81,550 tons of copper, a 70% decline in the past four months.

 

London copper inventories also fell by 66% in the same period.

 

In the US, copper Comex futures fell 1.2% to $5.06 a pound, marking a price premium of $1311 a ton compared to the London contract.

 

As for other metals: 

 

Aluminum fell 0.1% to $2580 a ton

Zinc shed 0.5% to $2755

Lead lost 0.3% to $2033

Nickel was unchanged at $15,210

Tin rose 0.5% to $33930 

Bitcoin inches down as risk appetite tumbles ahead of US inflation data

Economies.com
2025-06-27 12:13PM UTC

Bitcoin lost modest ground on Friday, relinquishing some earlier gains as the risk appetite softened amid uncertainty about the Federal Reserve’s monetary policies. 

 

The world’s most valuable cryptocurrency marked modest gains this week alongside other cryptocurrencies following the Israel-Iran ceasefire.

 

Bitcoin dipped 0.3% to $107,542 this morning, on track for a weekly profit of 5%. 

 

Despite the calm following the Israel-Iran ceasefire, uncertainty about the Federal Reserve’s independence and its future interest rate plans hurt the risk appetite.

 

Trump once again criticized Powell for refusing to cut interest rates, and asserting Powell will leave his position soon.

 

Powell told the Senate of the need to be cautious with monetary policies, as Trump’s tariffs represent a risk to inflation.

 

Powell warned that while Trump’s tariffs could cause a one-time hike in prices, the risk of sustained inflation is big enough to force the Fed into more caution about rate cuts.

 

The Wall Street Journal reports that Trump is considering choosing and announcing his successor by September or October as a way to undermine him.

 

Bitcoin Grabs Headlines Once More 

 

Bitcoin continues to grab glocal headlines, with some Indian politicians calling for buying bitcoin as a strategic reserve. 

 

This is part of an increasing global trend among governments and institutions to expand bitcoin adoption as a reserve and maybe even a safe hafe of sorts. 

 

It’s charting a similar story to gold in its earlier reserve days worldwide, with bitcoin likely going on a similar acceptance path as a value store. 

Trump once again criticized Powell for refusing to cut interest rates, and asserting Powell will leave his position soon.

 

Powell told the Senate of the need to be cautious with monetary policies, as Trump’s tariffs represent a risk to inflation.

 

Powell warned that while Trump’s tariffs could cause a one-time hike in prices, the risk of sustained inflation is big enough to force the Fed into more caution about rate cuts.

 

The Wall Street Journal reports that Trump is considering choosing and announcing his successor by September or October as a way to undermine him.

 

Strong Institutional Demand

 

Bitcoin is buoyed by rapidly increasing institutional demand, with SoSoValue data showing net investments into bitcoin sport ETFs at $547 million, with total weekly inflows amounting to $1.49 billion so far.

 

Otherwise, major corporations continue to add to their bitcoin holdings, with Japan’s MetaPlanet adding 1234 units on Thursday, raising its total holdings to 12,345 units.

 

PtoCap BTC also bought 1208 bitcoins, raising total holdings to 4932 units.

Frequently asked questions

What is the price of USD/CAD today?

The price of USD/CAD is $1.3576 (2025-07-04 01:45AM UTC)